Advances in Financial Machine Learning

Author: Marcos Lopez de Prado

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1119482119

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 400

View: 5620

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Machine learning (ML) is changing virtually every aspect of our lives. Today ML algorithms accomplish tasks that until recently only expert humans could perform. As it relates to finance, this is the most exciting time to adopt a disruptive technology that will transform how everyone invests for generations. Readers will learn how to structure Big data in a way that is amenable to ML algorithms; how to conduct research with ML algorithms on that data; how to use supercomputing methods; how to backtest your discoveries while avoiding false positives. The book addresses real-life problems faced by practitioners on a daily basis, and explains scientifically sound solutions using math, supported by code and examples. Readers become active users who can test the proposed solutions in their particular setting. Written by a recognized expert and portfolio manager, this book will equip investment professionals with the groundbreaking tools needed to succeed in modern finance.

Advances in Financial Machine Learning

Author: Marcos Lopez de Prado

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1119482100

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 400

View: 1516

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Machine learning (ML) is changing virtually every aspect of our lives. Today ML algorithms accomplish tasks that until recently only expert humans could perform. As it relates to finance, this is the most exciting time to adopt a disruptive technology that will transform how everyone invests for generations. Readers will learn how to structure Big data in a way that is amenable to ML algorithms; how to conduct research with ML algorithms on that data; how to use supercomputing methods; how to backtest your discoveries while avoiding false positives. The book addresses real-life problems faced by practitioners on a daily basis, and explains scientifically sound solutions using math, supported by code and examples. Readers become active users who can test the proposed solutions in their particular setting. Written by a recognized expert and portfolio manager, this book will equip investment professionals with the groundbreaking tools needed to succeed in modern finance.

Machine Learning for Financial Engineering

Author: László Györfi,György Ottucsák,Harro Walk

Publisher: World Scientific

ISBN: 1848168136

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 250

View: 8548

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Preface v 1 On the History of the Growth-Optimal Portfolio M. M. Christensen 1 2 Empirical Log-Optimal Portfolio Selections: A Survey L. Györfi Gy. Ottucsáak A. Urbán 81 3 Log-Optimal Portfolio-Selection Strategies with Proportional Transaction Costs L. Györfi H. Walk 119 4 Growth-Optimal Portfoho Selection with Short Selling and Leverage M. Horváth A. Urbán 153 5 Nonparametric Sequential Prediction of Stationary Time Series L. Györfi Gy. Ottucsák 179 6 Empirical Pricing American Put Options L. Györfi A. Telcs 227 Index 249

Financial Signal Processing and Machine Learning

Author: Ali N. Akansu,Sanjeev R. Kulkarni,Dmitry M. Malioutov

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1118745671

Category: Technology & Engineering

Page: 320

View: 9747

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The modern financial industry has been required to deal with large and diverse portfolios in a variety of asset classes often with limited market data available. Financial Signal Processing and Machine Learning unifies a number of recent advances made in signal processing and machine learning for the design and management of investment portfolios and financial engineering. This book bridges the gap between these disciplines, offering the latest information on key topics including characterizing statistical dependence and correlation in high dimensions, constructing effective and robust risk measures, and their use in portfolio optimization and rebalancing. The book focuses on signal processing approaches to model return, momentum, and mean reversion, addressing theoretical and implementation aspects. It highlights the connections between portfolio theory, sparse learning and compressed sensing, sparse eigen-portfolios, robust optimization, non-Gaussian data-driven risk measures, graphical models, causal analysis through temporal-causal modeling, and large-scale copula-based approaches. Key features: Highlights signal processing and machine learning as key approaches to quantitative finance. Offers advanced mathematical tools for high-dimensional portfolio construction, monitoring, and post-trade analysis problems. Presents portfolio theory, sparse learning and compressed sensing, sparsity methods for investment portfolios. including eigen-portfolios, model return, momentum, mean reversion and non-Gaussian data-driven risk measures with real-world applications of these techniques. Includes contributions from leading researchers and practitioners in both the signal and information processing communities, and the quantitative finance community.

Artificial Intelligence in Financial Markets

Cutting Edge Applications for Risk Management, Portfolio Optimization and Economics

Author: Christian L. Dunis,Peter W. Middleton,Andreas Karathanasopolous,Konstantinos Theofilatos

Publisher: Springer

ISBN: 1137488808

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 344

View: 9595

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As technology advancement has increased, so to have computational applications for forecasting, modelling and trading financial markets and information, and practitioners are finding ever more complex solutions to financial challenges. Neural networking is a highly effective, trainable algorithmic approach which emulates certain aspects of human brain functions, and is used extensively in financial forecasting allowing for quick investment decision making. This book presents the most cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI)/neural networking applications for markets, assets and other areas of finance. Split into four sections, the book first explores time series analysis for forecasting and trading across a range of assets, including derivatives, exchange traded funds, debt and equity instruments. This section will focus on pattern recognition, market timing models, forecasting and trading of financial time series. Section II provides insights into macro and microeconomics and how AI techniques could be used to better understand and predict economic variables. Section III focuses on corporate finance and credit analysis providing an insight into corporate structures and credit, and establishing a relationship between financial statement analysis and the influence of various financial scenarios. Section IV focuses on portfolio management, exploring applications for portfolio theory, asset allocation and optimization. This book also provides some of the latest research in the field of artificial intelligence and finance, and provides in-depth analysis and highly applicable tools and techniques for practitioners and researchers in this field.

Neural Networks in Finance

Gaining Predictive Edge in the Market

Author: Paul D. McNelis

Publisher: Academic Press

ISBN: 0124859674

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 243

View: 9604

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This book explores the intuitive appeal of neural networks and the genetic algorithm in finance. It demonstrates how neural networks used in combination with evolutionary computation outperform classical econometric methods for accuracy in forecasting, classification and dimensionality reduction. McNelis utilizes a variety of examples, from forecasting automobile production and corporate bond spread, to inflation and deflation processes in Hong Kong and Japan, to credit card default in Germany to bank failures in Texas, to cap-floor volatilities in New York and Hong Kong. * Offers a balanced, critical review of the neural network methods and genetic algorithms used in finance * Includes numerous examples and applications * Numerical illustrations use MATLAB code and the book is accompanied by a website

Python for Finance

Analyze Big Financial Data

Author: Yves Hilpisch

Publisher: "O'Reilly Media, Inc."

ISBN: 1491945389

Category: Computers

Page: 606

View: 2149

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The financial industry has adopted Python at a tremendous rate recently, with some of the largest investment banks and hedge funds using it to build core trading and risk management systems. This hands-on guide helps both developers and quantitative analysts get started with Python, and guides you through the most important aspects of using Python for quantitative finance. Using practical examples through the book, author Yves Hilpisch also shows you how to develop a full-fledged framework for Monte Carlo simulation-based derivatives and risk analytics, based on a large, realistic case study. Much of the book uses interactive IPython Notebooks, with topics that include: Fundamentals: Python data structures, NumPy array handling, time series analysis with pandas, visualization with matplotlib, high performance I/O operations with PyTables, date/time information handling, and selected best practices Financial topics: mathematical techniques with NumPy, SciPy and SymPy such as regression and optimization; stochastics for Monte Carlo simulation, Value-at-Risk, and Credit-Value-at-Risk calculations; statistics for normality tests, mean-variance portfolio optimization, principal component analysis (PCA), and Bayesian regression Special topics: performance Python for financial algorithms, such as vectorization and parallelization, integrating Python with Excel, and building financial applications based on Web technologies

Algorithmic Trading

Winning Strategies and Their Rationale

Author: Ernie Chan

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1118460146

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 207

View: 5177

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Markets are now almost always electronic, and as a result of decimalization, algorithmic trading is booming. Algorithmic trading (or "algo trading" as it is referred) is the use of computer programs (such as Excel or MatLab) for entering and executing trading orders with the computer algorithm deciding on certain aspects of the order, such as the timing, price, or even the final quantity of the order. Algorithmic trading may be used in any investment strategy, including market-making, inter-market spreading, arbitrage, or pure speculation (including trend following). The investment decision and implementation may be augmented at any stage with algorithmic support or may operate completely automatically. Algorithmic Trading provides an understanding of the core concepts in quantitative trading, an understanding of the process of using mathematics and statistics to analyze the profitability of a trading model, a “hands on” experience of how backtesting is done, and an understanding of pair trading in stocks, ETFs, futures and currencies. Chan shows investors how to use Excel and MatLab to build their own algo trading tools, as well as FX1, an FX trading platform growing in popularity.He also shows investors how to conduct quantitative research and analysis, and turn quantitative trading strategies into profits using stocks, ETFs, futures, and other financial instruments.

Advanced Machine Learning with Python

Author: John Hearty

Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd

ISBN: 1784393835

Category: Computers

Page: 278

View: 8394

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Solve challenging data science problems by mastering cutting-edge machine learning techniques in Python About This Book Resolve complex machine learning problems and explore deep learning Learn to use Python code for implementing a range of machine learning algorithms and techniques A practical tutorial that tackles real-world computing problems through a rigorous and effective approach Who This Book Is For This title is for Python developers and analysts or data scientists who are looking to add to their existing skills by accessing some of the most powerful recent trends in data science. If you've ever considered building your own image or text-tagging solution, or of entering a Kaggle contest for instance, this book is for you! Prior experience of Python and grounding in some of the core concepts of machine learning would be helpful. What You Will Learn Compete with top data scientists by gaining a practical and theoretical understanding of cutting-edge deep learning algorithms Apply your new found skills to solve real problems, through clearly-explained code for every technique and test Automate large sets of complex data and overcome time-consuming practical challenges Improve the accuracy of models and your existing input data using powerful feature engineering techniques Use multiple learning techniques together to improve the consistency of results Understand the hidden structure of datasets using a range of unsupervised techniques Gain insight into how the experts solve challenging data problems with an effective, iterative, and validation-focused approach Improve the effectiveness of your deep learning models further by using powerful ensembling techniques to strap multiple models together In Detail Designed to take you on a guided tour of the most relevant and powerful machine learning techniques in use today by top data scientists, this book is just what you need to push your Python algorithms to maximum potential. Clear examples and detailed code samples demonstrate deep learning techniques, semi-supervised learning, and more - all whilst working with real-world applications that include image, music, text, and financial data. The machine learning techniques covered in this book are at the forefront of commercial practice. They are applicable now for the first time in contexts such as image recognition, NLP and web search, computational creativity, and commercial/financial data modeling. Deep Learning algorithms and ensembles of models are in use by data scientists at top tech and digital companies, but the skills needed to apply them successfully, while in high demand, are still scarce. This book is designed to take the reader on a guided tour of the most relevant and powerful machine learning techniques. Clear descriptions of how techniques work and detailed code examples demonstrate deep learning techniques, semi-supervised learning and more, in real world applications. We will also learn about NumPy and Theano. By this end of this book, you will learn a set of advanced Machine Learning techniques and acquire a broad set of powerful skills in the area of feature selection & feature engineering. Style and approach This book focuses on clarifying the theory and code behind complex algorithms to make them practical, useable, and well-understood. Each topic is described with real-world applications, providing both broad contextual coverage and detailed guidance.

Statistically Sound Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading of Financial Instruments

Developing Predictive-model-based Trading Systems Using TSSB

Author: David Aronson,Timothy Masters

Publisher: Createspace Independent Pub

ISBN: 9781489507716

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 520

View: 3486

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This book serves two purposes. First, it teaches the importance of using sophisticated yet accessible statistical methods to evaluate a trading system before it is put to real-world use. In order to accommodate readers having limited mathematical background, these techniques are illustrated with step-by-step examples using actual market data, and all examples are explained in plain language. Second, this book shows how the free program TSSB (Trading System Synthesis & Boosting) can be used to develop and test trading systems. The machine learning and statistical algorithms available in TSSB go far beyond those available in other off-the-shelf development software. Intelligent use of these state-of-the-art techniques greatly improves the likelihood of obtaining a trading system whose impressive backtest results continue when the system is put to use in a trading account. Among other things, this book will teach the reader how to: Estimate future performance with rigorous algorithms Evaluate the influence of good luck in backtests Detect overfitting before deploying your system Estimate performance bias due to model fitting and selection of seemingly superior systems Use state-of-the-art ensembles of models to form consensus trade decisions Build optimal portfolios of trading systems and rigorously test their expected performance Search thousands of markets to find subsets that are especially predictable Create trading systems that specialize in specific market regimes such as trending/flat or high/low volatility More information on the TSSB program can be found at TSSBsoftware dot com.

Mastering Python for Finance

Author: James Ma Weiming

Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd

ISBN: 1784397873

Category: Computers

Page: 340

View: 2848

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If you are an undergraduate or graduate student, a beginner to algorithmic development and research, or a software developer in the financial industry who is interested in using Python for quantitative methods in finance, this is the book for you. It would be helpful to have a bit of familiarity with basic Python usage, but no prior experience is required.

Finding Alphas

A Quantitative Approach to Building Trading Strategies

Author: Igor Tulchinsky

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1119057892

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 272

View: 4203

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Design more successful trading systems with this practical guide to identifying alphas Finding Alphas seeks to teach you how to do one thing and do it well: design alphas. Written by experienced practitioners from WorldQuant, including its founder and CEO Igor Tulchinsky, this book provides detailed insight into the alchemic art of generating trading signals, and gives you access to the tools you need to practice and explore. Equally applicable across regions, this practical guide provides you with methods for uncovering the hidden signals in your data. A collection of essays provides diverse viewpoints to show the similarities, as well as unique approaches, to alpha design, covering a wide variety of topics, ranging from abstract theory to concrete technical aspects. You'll learn the dos and don'ts of information research, fundamental analysis, statistical arbitrage, alpha diversity, and more, and then delve into more advanced areas and more complex designs. The companion website, www.worldquantchallenge.com, features alpha examples with formulas and explanations. Further, this book also provides practical guidance for using WorldQuant's online simulation tool WebSim® to get hands-on practice in alpha design. Alpha is an algorithm which trades financial securities. This book shows you the ins and outs of alpha design, with key insight from experienced practitioners. Learn the seven habits of highly effective quants Understand the key technical aspects of alpha design Use WebSim® to experiment and create more successful alphas Finding Alphas is the detailed, informative guide you need to start designing robust, successful alphas.

Machine Learning

a Concise Introduction

Author: Steven W. Knox

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1119439078

Category: Computers

Page: 352

View: 2224

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AN INTRODUCTION TO MACHINE LEARNING THAT INCLUDES THE FUNDAMENTAL TECHNIQUES, METHODS, AND APPLICATIONS Machine Learning: a Concise Introduction offers a comprehensive introduction to the core concepts, approaches, and applications of machine learning. The author—an expert in the field—presents fundamental ideas, terminology, and techniques for solving applied problems in classification, regression, clustering, density estimation, and dimension reduction. The design principles behind the techniques are emphasized, including the bias-variance trade-off and its influence on the design of ensemble methods. Understanding these principles leads to more flexible and successful applications. Machine Learning: a Concise Introduction also includes methods for optimization, risk estimation, and model selection— essential elements of most applied projects. This important resource: Illustrates many classification methods with a single, running example, highlighting similarities and differences between methods Presents R source code which shows how to apply and interpret many of the techniques covered Includes many thoughtful exercises as an integral part of the text, with an appendix of selected solutions Contains useful information for effectively communicating with clients A volume in the popular Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, Machine Learning: a Concise Introduction offers the practical information needed for an understanding of the methods and application of machine learning. STEVEN W. KNOX holds a Ph.D. in Mathematics from the University of Illinois and an M.S. in Statistics from Carnegie Mellon University. He has over twenty years’ experience in using Machine Learning, Statistics, and Mathematics to solve real-world problems. He currently serves as Technical Director of Mathematics Research and Senior Advocate for Data Science at the National Security Agency.

Trading Thalesians

What the Ancient World Can Teach Us About Trading Today

Author: S. Amen

Publisher: Springer

ISBN: 1137399538

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 193

View: 4681

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This book mixes history on the ancient world with investment ideas for traders involved in financial markets today. It goes through ideas such as measuring risk, whether investors should try to outperform the market, Black Swans and ways of creating appropriate investment targets. It will appeal to professional traders and retail investors.

Hedge Funds

An Analytic Perspective

Author: Andrew W. Lo

Publisher: Princeton University Press

ISBN: 9781400835812

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 400

View: 6124

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The hedge fund industry has grown dramatically over the last two decades, with more than eight thousand funds now controlling close to two trillion dollars. Originally intended for the wealthy, these private investments have now attracted a much broader following that includes pension funds and retail investors. Because hedge funds are largely unregulated and shrouded in secrecy, they have developed a mystique and allure that can beguile even the most experienced investor. In Hedge Funds, Andrew Lo--one of the world's most respected financial economists--addresses the pressing need for a systematic framework for managing hedge fund investments. Arguing that hedge funds have very different risk and return characteristics than traditional investments, Lo constructs new tools for analyzing their dynamics, including measures of illiquidity exposure and performance smoothing, linear and nonlinear risk models that capture alternative betas, econometric models of hedge fund failure rates, and integrated investment processes for alternative investments. In a new chapter, he looks at how the strategies for and regulation of hedge funds have changed in the aftermath of the financial crisis.

Trades, Quotes and Prices

Financial Markets Under the Microscope

Author: Jean-Philippe Bouchaud,Julius Bonart,Jonathan Donier,Martin Gould

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

ISBN: 1108639062

Category: Science

Page: N.A

View: 357

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The widespread availability of high-quality, high-frequency data has revolutionised the study of financial markets. By describing not only asset prices, but also market participants' actions and interactions, this wealth of information offers a new window into the inner workings of the financial ecosystem. In this original text, the authors discuss empirical facts of financial markets and introduce a wide range of models, from the micro-scale mechanics of individual order arrivals to the emergent, macro-scale issues of market stability. Throughout this journey, data is king. All discussions are firmly rooted in the empirical behaviour of real stocks, and all models are calibrated and evaluated using recent data from Nasdaq. By confronting theory with empirical facts, this book for practitioners, researchers and advanced students provides a fresh, new, and often surprising perspective on topics as diverse as optimal trading, price impact, the fragile nature of liquidity, and even the reasons why people trade at all.

Machine Learning Using R

Author: Karthik Ramasubramanian,Abhishek Singh

Publisher: Apress

ISBN: 1484223349

Category: Computers

Page: 566

View: 1358

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Examine the latest technological advancements in building a scalable machine learning model with Big Data using R. This book shows you how to work with a machine learning algorithm and use it to build a ML model from raw data. All practical demonstrations will be explored in R, a powerful programming language and software environment for statistical computing and graphics. The various packages and methods available in R will be used to explain the topics. For every machine learning algorithm covered in this book, a 3-D approach of theory, case-study and practice will be given. And where appropriate, the mathematics will be explained through visualization in R. All the images are available in color and hi-res as part of the code download. This new paradigm of teaching machine learning will bring about a radical change in perception for many of those who think this subject is difficult to learn. Though theory sometimes looks difficult, especially when there is heavy mathematics involved, the seamless flow from the theoretical aspects to example-driven learning provided in this book makes it easy for someone to connect the dots.. What You'll Learn Use the model building process flow Apply theoretical aspects of machine learning Review industry-based cae studies Understand ML algorithms using R Build machine learning models using Apache Hadoop and Spark Who This Book is For Data scientists, data science professionals and researchers in academia who want to understand the nuances of machine learning approaches/algorithms along with ways to see them in practice using R. The book will also benefit the readers who want to understand the technology behind implementing a scalable machine learning model using Apache Hadoop, Hive, Pig and Spark.

Artificial Intelligence in Finance & Investing

State-of-the-art Technologies for Securities Selection and Portfolio Management

Author: Robert R. Trippi,Jae K. Lee

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

ISBN: 9781557388681

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 246

View: 1613

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In Artificial Intelligence in Finance and Investing, authors Robert Trippi and Jae Lee explain this fascinating new technology in terms that portfolio managers, institutional investors, investment analysis, and information systems professionals can understand. Using real-life examples and a practical approach, this rare and readable volume discusses the entire field of artificial intelligence of relevance to investing, so that readers can realize the benefits and evaluate the features of existing or proposed systems, and ultimately construct their own systems. Topics include using Expert Systems for Asset Allocation, Timing Decisions, Pattern Recognition, and Risk Assessment; overview of Popular Knowledge-Based Systems; construction of Synergistic Rule Bases for Securities Selection; incorporating the Markowitz Portfolio Optimization Model into Knowledge-Based Systems; Bayesian Theory and Fuzzy Logic System Components; Machine Learning in Portfolio Selection and Investment Timing, including Pattern-Based Learning and Fenetic Algorithms; and Neural Network-Based Systems. To illustrate the concepts presented in the book, the authors conclude with a valuable practice session and analysis of a typical knowledge-based system for investment management, K-FOLIO. For those who want to stay on the cutting edge of the "application" revolution, Artificial Intelligence in Finance and Investing offers a pragmatic introduction to the use of knowledge-based systems in securities selection and portfolio management.

Feature Engineering for Machine Learning

Principles and Techniques for Data Scientists

Author: Alice Zheng,Amanda Casari

Publisher: "O'Reilly Media, Inc."

ISBN: 1491953195

Category: Computers

Page: 218

View: 4274

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Feature engineering is a crucial step in the machine-learning pipeline, yet this topic is rarely examined on its own. With this practical book, you’ll learn techniques for extracting and transforming features—the numeric representations of raw data—into formats for machine-learning models. Each chapter guides you through a single data problem, such as how to represent text or image data. Together, these examples illustrate the main principles of feature engineering. Rather than simply teach these principles, authors Alice Zheng and Amanda Casari focus on practical application with exercises throughout the book. The closing chapter brings everything together by tackling a real-world, structured dataset with several feature-engineering techniques. Python packages including numpy, Pandas, Scikit-learn, and Matplotlib are used in code examples. You’ll examine: Feature engineering for numeric data: filtering, binning, scaling, log transforms, and power transforms Natural text techniques: bag-of-words, n-grams, and phrase detection Frequency-based filtering and feature scaling for eliminating uninformative features Encoding techniques of categorical variables, including feature hashing and bin-counting Model-based feature engineering with principal component analysis The concept of model stacking, using k-means as a featurization technique Image feature extraction with manual and deep-learning techniques